Friday, April 17, 2009

End of the Washington Consensus?

Could it be the end of neoliberalism, the end of the Washington Consensus and control of the world? 
They once said, this is the end of history, neoliberal, U.S. capitalism is the last and final solution to everything... once again, they are probably wrong. 
They also said that World War I would be the war to end all wars, wrong again. 
They said cut your social spending, privatize, focus on export markets, etc.... while we (anglo saxons) all did not do that ourselves...
The U.S. and other anglo saxon states have climbed the ladder and kicked it out from under them, not allowing other states to develop, but that may be changing now. 
Who will listen to the U.S. now that it has caused such a recession? Not a lot of people. U.S. legitimacy will fall, and the Chinese, Indian, Brazilian, and other powers will rise to the occasion. 
Will new superpowers treat their modern day colonies (i.e. underdeveloped states) more justly and fairly then the U.S. has? That is hard to say, although the bar has been set quite low - simply not doing the following would be treating such countries with more respect than the U.S. has over the past couple years: don't bomb said peoples; don't sanction; don't use economic hitmen; don't topple democratic presidents; don't train their own people to kill themselves; don't profit by weapons sales which again, kill their own people; don't rig elections; this could go on for a while...
This is not to say that other rising or current powers have not done any of these things... but the U.S., given its position, should be a role model, not a hypocritical bully that calls for nations to follow norms and rules that it never did, to stay in the pits of underdevelopment while it looks down from above...

U.S. and Cuba?

The travel ban has been lifted: Cuban americans can return back to zer homeland... for a longer time. Legislators are now working on allowing everyone to go - could this be a hopeful possibility, or is it a strategy to use soft power to change Cuba, to Americanize it? 
Either way, an economic trade deal might be under way. How might these two nations go about doing this? Given that I suspect that Cuba would never sign a free trade agreement, would the U.S. even consider allowing Cuba to take more active part in drafting up an agreement (I assume that most trade agreements are made behind doors without the true representation of the other country)? Probably not. The U.S. can't stand to make agreements with equal partners, or with anyone who would assert more symmetry and equality in relations. 
Even more, is Fidel even alive? Is the gov't trying to protect its own image by preventing the press from saying anything about his condition, whereabouts, or existence? Potentially. 
In any case, one would hope that Cuba could avoid a U.S. elected dictator\"friendly business coordinator" like Batista again, if the gov't were to fall...

Viva el che!